UFC 332’s best betting props, parlays and picks | Silva vs. Wang

UFC 332is live this weekend (Sat., Oct. 3, 2026) from inside Delta Bank Center in Salt Lake City, Utah, streaming exclusively on Paramount+ (watch here). The main event is for Valentina Shevchenko’s recently vacated UFC women’s Flyweight title (more on that here). Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong will determine who gets that belt (perhaps keeping it warm before “Bullet” is back on the scene).

The co-main event on Saturday is Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott. Talbott is looking for a quality win to show he deserves to be in the Bantamweight title picture, while Figueiredo is just looking for any win to prove he still belongs here.

Rounding out the main card is King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (fun!), Roberto Soldic’s UFC debut against Khaos Williams and Ateba Gautier vs. Roman Kopylov.

UFC 332’s “Prelims” are headlined by Imanol Rodriguez vs. Alden Coria. The undercard also has top prospects Damian Pinas, Anthony Wint and Jacobe Smith on tap. There’s also some veterans down there, too, with Marvin Vettori, Rafael dos Anjos and even Court McGee looking to remind us they are still here.

As always, there’s lots to bet on this card and we’ve got odds for all the fights below:

UFC 332 Main Card Money Line Odds

Natalia Silva (-198) vs. Wang Cong (+164)

Silva earns her shot at gold at UFC 332 thanks to an 8-0 unbeaten run in UFC. Her total unbeaten run goes back 14 fights. Her last loss was to Marina Rodriguez in 2017. In January, Silva got a decision over Rosa Namajunas. Before that she decisioned Alexa Grasso and Jessica Andrade. Of her eight UFC wins, only two are stoppages. That’s a 2023 TKO over Victoria Leonardo and a spinning back kikc on Tereza Bleda the year before.

Wang doesn’t have the record Silva has, but she’s made herself notable due to the personality she brings to her fights and the build-up around them. She burst onto the scene with a brutal KO over Leonardo in 2024 (see that here). In her next fight she was finished by Gabriella Fernandes, while a -950 favorite. Since then she’s won four decisions, including a fight with Eduarda Moura that she missed weight for and didn’t go entirely her own way. Her last fight was in July, when she took a very dull decision over Tracy Cortez.

It’s easy to see why Silva is the favorite here. She’s been very steady over her UFC career; doing what she needs to win, but also not doing anything that exciting. Wang is a little more emotional and that has led to higher highs and lower lows.

I think Silva is the more rounded and more technical fighter. Though, I also think Wang is more capable of producing a moment that can stop a fight. And I think the stage being set here, plays to the advantage of a showman like Wang.

Both these ladies prefer to keep it standing and both land at a decent clip while also being defensively sound.

Against Namajunas, Silva landed 51 significant strikes and held her opponent to just 26 (at a 27 percent accuracy). Namajunas’ career sig. strikes per minute is 3.5, so she should be landing 53 sig. strikes in fifteen minutes. And her career accuracy is 41 percent. Before this Silva held Grasso to 45 sig. strikes at 32 percent accuracy. Based on Grasso’s averages she should be landing 63. And she has a career 41 percent accuracy. So Silva, it seems, is good at making fighters throw and land less than expected.

Wang really showed up against Cortez, landing 137 sig. strikes with 63 percent accuracy. That’s the third time she’s landed over one hundred sig. strikes in a fight. The only fight that went the distance, where she didn’t break 100, was her win over Eduarda Moura. She landed just 39 there, but that’s because a lot of that fight happened on the ground.

So my big question is, can Silva drastically dent Wang’s output and, even if she does, will Wang still be landing more than Silva typically absorbs in a fight. And also, if Wang can land 130-140 sig. strikes in three rounds, how many can she land in five?

This line of thinking has me leaning towards Wang, who I also think hits harder than Silva.

I think we are due for a five round decision here, since neither of these women have a lot of stopping power. And I think Wang is going to be landing the harder looking shots throughout. Silva might chip away with leg kicks and body kicks, but I think Wang’s big swings up top will make more of a difference and that those will be the ones the judges remember.

Best bet: Wang Cong moneyline (+164)

Deiveson Figueiredo (+500) vs. Payton Talbott (-700)

Figueiredo was submitted by Song Yadong in May (see it here). Before that he lost a decision to Umar Nurmagomedov and won a decision over Montel Jackson. The former Flyweight champion is now 4-4 since moving up weight classes.

Talbott took a convincing decision over Henry Cejudo in December. That match seemed to suffer from the fact these two were quite familiar and possibly fond of each other. Before that Talbott took a decision over Felipe Lima. Talbott is now 11-1 as a pro, with that one loss being his famous defeat to Raoni Barcelos last year. Talbott was the -1150 favorite in that fight. Barcelos has since proved that the oddsmakers got that one wrong.

We’ve known for a while now that Figueiredo just doesn’t have the youth or size to be a factor at the upper climbs of Bantamweight. He’s been competitive against great fighters, which I think deserves a lot of credit. But he’s just not been capable of really hurting many and then pushing through to get a win. He did manage to Yan a few times in their fight, but Yan seemed to accept that in order to do what he wanted to do.

Given where Figueiredo is at in his career (and life), I’m finding it hard to pick him in this bout. Yes, Raoni Barcelos has shown us what a 40-year-old is capable of in the division and against this opponent. But Figueiredo and Barcelos are totally different fighters.

I can’t see a world where Figueiredo is able to physically impose himself on Talbott and either get him down or back him up with his striking. Talbott will look like a giant in this fight and that’s going to be significant in the clinch and in wrestling.

Historically, Talbott hasn’t been much of a wrestler, but he used wrestling to beat Cejudo. Now, he might have only done that because he was facing Cejudo and wanted to say he could take down an Olympic champion. If he’s willing to play for takedowns in this fight, I think he’ll find a lot of success with them.

I’m confident that Talbott wins, but I don’t think he stops Figueiredo. Figueiredo has great grappling and is very good at protecting himself off his back. Figueiredo also has a hell of a chin (just watch that Yan fight). His only KO losses are a knee injury and an eye injury.

All that has me looking at the over.

Best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-120)

King Green (+210) vs. Esteban Ribovics (-258)

Green won a wild fight over Terrance McKinney in July, scoring a finish in the last second of round one after being badly hurt early on (see it here). That was his fourth win in a row, following big finishes over Jeremy Stephens and Daniel Zellhuber and a boring decision over Lance Gibson Jr. That run has helped erase memories of his scary KO loss to Mauricio Ruffy and his head-scratching submission loss to Paddy Pimblett.

Ribovics has a highlight reel finish over McKinney, too. He smoked him with a head kick after just 37 seconds back in 2024 (see it here). He also has a win over Zellhuber, also in 2024. That was a split decision win and a Fight of the Year candidate. He’s 2-2 recently with wins over Edson Barboza and Elves Brener and losses to Mateusz Gamrot and Nasrat Haqparast (I think the judges got it wrong on that one, though).

I think we’re right to expect chaos in this fight. I’m surprised to see Green as the underdog, though. I think Green is much better at looking for a finish than Ribovics, who sometimes seems to get stuck in rock ‘em sock ‘em mode and takes too much damage himself to then summon up a finishing blow. Green is a lot more choosey and will snipe with big shots and also make sure he’s not taking one to land one.

Ribovics has one of the highest sig. strikes per minute numbers in UC with 7.43. That’s good for second in the Lightweight division (behind McKinney). But his accuracy is just 43 percent. And he’s absorbing 5.74 sig. strikes per minute. His defense against sig. strikes is 54 percent, which is about average.

Green, though, lands close to what Ribovics’ does (6.49 sig. strikes a minute, which is third highest in the division), but only takes 3.63 and his defense is a very good 63 percent. That’s fourth highest in the division.

I think Green also has the power advantage, too. Ribovics lands hundreds of strikes, but still mostly goes to a decision. Also, if this is going to be anything other than striking, Green has a 45 percent takedown accuracy (which is top ten in the division).

There’s just a lot going on here that makes me lean Green in this match-up.

Best bet: King Green moneyline (+210)

Roberto Soldic (-310) vs. Khaos Williams (+250)

Robocop (the other one) is finally in UFC. After a long career in KSW, and a cup of coffee in ONE, Soldic comes over to the Octagon. The 31-year-old’s last fight was a boxing sidequest against Tomasz Adamek, which he won by second round TKO. His last MMA win was a KO win in ONE against Dai Arslanaliev. He’s a former multi-time champ in KSW with memorable wins and rivalries with Mamed Khalidov and Dricus du Plessis.

Williams slept Nikolay Veretennikov in May (see that here). That first round win followed his devastating defeat to Andreas Gustafsson. Williams was dragged into the deepest of water by Gustafsson, suffering a 10-8 round in the third. Before that loss he was D’arce choked by Gabriel Bonfim (see it here).

Soldic may have done his best work in KSW, but at 31 he’s got plenty left in the tank. And, just like I did when Salahdine Parnasse came over, let me tell you again that KSW deserves some respect. The stars in that org get tough fights and do it in massive arenas with a ton of hype and attention on them. I think the best guys who come out of there are more than UFC-ready.

Soldic did lose, by TKO, somewhat recently. In 2023 he was taken out by Zebastian Kadestam. Soldic was controlling that fight, but was then wobbled with a counter and then Kadestam went in for the kill. I don’t want to say it was a lucky shot, but I feel like that fight can go into the “sometimes you just get caught” folder.

I’m less concerned about that than I am about what Gustafsson did to Williams. Soldic, like Gustafsson, really pushes the pace. He’s not a grinder like Gustafsson, his pace is more about coming forward and ripping combos.

I think Soldic’s pressure, and power, might make this a tough night for Williams.

Best bet: Roberto Soldic by KO/TKO/DQ (-350)

Ateba Gautier (-185) vs. Roman Kopylov (+154)

Gautier is 5-0 in UFC now and has done little to persuade folks that he isn’t a terrifying super prospect. He finished Ozzy Diaz in the second round in May (see that here). Before that he went the distance for a win over Andrey Pulyaev and finished Tre’ston Vines and Robert Valentin. The alleged 24-year-old is now 10-1 as a pro. That loss was a total robbery of a decision (of the home cooking variety) in his second ever fight.

Kopylov is coming off a decision win over Marco Tulio in May. Before that he dropped decisions to Gregory Rodrigues and Paulo Costa. He had won two in a row before that, including a buzzer beating head kick finish over Chris Curtis (see it here) and a split decision over Cesar Almeida.

This is a good step up for Gautier. He’s won in very impressive fashion, but the names on his schedule aren’t that impressive. The Pulyaev fight was a good test for him, too, and it answered some important questions. Mostly that he can fight three rounds.

Kopylov is a similar problem to Pulyaev. And, like Pulyaev, he’s a guy who is able to survive against very dangerous fighters. He’s on a select list when it comes to guys who haven’t been finished by Tulio, RoboCop or Almeida. He must just have a really hard head. Because he’s not avoiding much of the offense from these guys.

Kopylov absorbs 5.08 sig. strikes a minute, which is more than he lands (always a massive red flag for me). and his defense is a very so-so 53 percent. Rodrigues landed 90 sig. strikes on him with 52 percent accuracy, with 67 percent of those going to the head. Costa landed 99 at a 62 percent accuracy. Only 34 percent of those went to the head. Costa landed 40 sig. body shots and leg kicks in that fight, too. So I guess Kopylov has really hard ribs and calves, too.

Kopylov’s experience with some really good guys is why, I think, the odds are so close in this one. I still like Gautier, though. He’s shown he can win a decision and I think he’s going to land a lot on Kopylov, even if he’s not going to finish him. Gautier will also have a lot of size on him. He’s four inches taller and has a massive six inch reach advantage.

Best bet: Ateba Gautier moneyline (-185)

UFC 332 ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds

Imanol Rodriguez (-166) vs. Alden Coria (+140)

Rodriguez improved his record to 7-0 with a TKO win over Kevin Borjas in February. That earned him a Performance of the Night bonus. That was his first win since coming off Contender Series and The Ultimate Fighter (where he lost to eventual winner Joseph Morales).

Coria debuted in 2025 as a short notice opponent for Alessandro Costa. He shocked Costa with a third round TKO (see it here). Costa hasn’t lost since then. And neither has Coria. He has since outclassed Luis Gurule and Stewart Nicoll.

I’ve been impressed by both these guys. Both are examples of just how good a lot of Flyweights are even before they first step foot in the Octagon.

These guys have pretty similar games, in that they can do a bit of everything. Rodriguez has shown us a little more on the feet. And Coria has shown us a little more on the ground. I’m excited to see who can implement their game the strongest, though. If we’re stuck kickboxing for an entire fight, then Rodriguez might carve out a win. If Coria can get a takedown here and there, then it’s likely his fight to lose.

I am leaning Coria in this fight. He has great size for a Flyweight. He’ll be four inches taller than Rodriguez and have a three inch reach advantage. That might help him stay out of range and thus really damage Rodriguez’s attempts to do the thing he might be best at here.

I also like that Coria’s been more active. These young Flyweights seem to really suck up experiences like a sponge and get better from fight to fight. Coria has also had the tougher schedule.

Best bet: Alden Coria moneyline (+140)

Damian Pinas (-485) vs. Andrey Pulyaev (+370)

Pinas put Cesar Almeida to sleep in July with a straight right (see it here). That was his third first round KO win in a row in UFC (if you count his Contender Series opponent).

Pulyaev was choked to sleep in June by Nursulton Ruziboev (see it here). Before that he survived three rounds with Ateba Gautier, getting dropped in the first but then stifling Gautier somewhat en route to a decision loss. Pulyaev is 1-3 in UFC with his other loss being a decision to Christian Leroy Duncan.

This is an interesting match-up. Pinas has the touch of death and we’ve seen three guys in the Octagon go down in a heap as soon as he lands something clean.

Pulyaev has been able to hang with two other guys who have that kind of power, in Gautier and Duncan. Ruziboev can crack, too.

What has helped Pulyaev avoid getting starched by those guys is his incredible size. He’s very tall and he has a very long reach. He’s also very crafty when it comes to tying guys up and getting too close for them to extend and land with power. So far Pinas has shown that his power comes from range, but he has lots of time to show us he can win in other ways.

Pinas has a one inch reach advantage, but that’s not enough of an advantage for me to rule out Pulyaev being able to stay out of trouble for big portions.

Despite my appreciation for Pulyaev’s survival skills, I am really high on Pinas. He really passes the eye test and he’s coming from a very good gym (Chute Boxe). I think he’s got more up his sleeve than those power shots from range and he might get a chance to prove it here.

If he blows Pulyaev away in a minute that would be sensational. But I think this might be a repeat of Gautier’s win, where he gets a knockdown, but Pulyaev is able to gut out a decision. That’s going to make me take the over here.

Best bet: Over 1.5 rounds (+105)

UFC 332 Early ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds

Anthony Wint (-455) vs. Lucas Armand (+350)

Former football player Wint earned a technical submission victory in his debut in August (see it here). It wasn’t the most amazing performance I’ve seen. And the excessive theatrics before and after the fight have me feeling over Wint already. He’s now 8-0 in pro MMA. He’s already 31-years-old, though.

Armand is 6-0 and he’s been brought in to lose. His entire pro career has been spent in something called Two Piece Promotions, other than one fight with Warrior Xtreme Cagefighting. This will be his first time fighting outside of Michigan.

Another top prospect with minimal UFC experience against a regional fighter with zero UFC experience. Armand must know what UFC are thinking when they gave him the call. They want him to lose and they want Wint to be somebody.

I really want to fade Wint here. I’m not that impressed with his overall vibe and I think he looked very raw against the last guy who was handpicked to lose against him. I’m not going to fade Gautier, Pinas or Smith, so I’ll pick Wint to be the guy I don’t trust this week.

I’m not doing that just because I’m being so negative about Wint, though he has similar red flags to Gable Steveson. I also think he’s very undersized for Heavyweight. And Armand is a very big dude.

Best bet: Lucas Armand moneyline (+350)

Johnny Walker (-148) vs. Mick Parkin (+124)

Walker’s last fight was a split decision loss to Dominick Reyes in April. That was an all-time stinker. He announced his decision to move up to Heavyweight after that. His first bout in the division was supposed to be against Ante Delija, but that got scrapped. Walker makes the move up despite having some recent success at Light Heavyweight. Last year he scored one of the upsets of the year with a second round TKO over Zhang Mingyang (see it here).

Parkin was slowly climbing the ranks by getting four wins over the past three years. The most recent of those was a first round TKO over Lukasz Brzeski (see it here). His last fight was in March, 2025 — a unanimous decision loss to Marcin Tybura. That spoiled his 10-0 record.

I’v=m very lukewarm on Parkin, despite his near perfect record. He’s not exactly faced a murderers’ row at Heavyweight and, if you’re not regularly knocking guys out, you’re not going to go far in this division (even if you win a bunch). Three out of Parkin’s four UFC wins are decisions.

I don’t know what we’re going to see from Walker as a Heavyweight. Light Heavyweights moving up have been hit and miss lately. Ryan Spann and Kennedy Nzechukwu recently found out that Heavyweights hit very hard. And Walker’s not the most durable guy around anyway.

Even so, Parkin doesn’t feel like enough of a killer to punish Walker. I think we might end up having one of those bad Heavyweight fights here, just like the bad Light Heavyweight fight we just endured from Walker. If we’re point fighting, then Walker’s speed and creativity might win out in the end. Walker will also have a reach advantage in the fight.

The round total is 1.5 and I don’t know what Vegas is thinking with that one. The over is -200, since I’m guessing so many people jumped all over that. I’ll go with Walker on the moneyline, since I don’t want to get yelled at for doing too many over/unders this week.

Best bet:Johnny Walker moneyline (-135)

Rafael dos Anjos (+215) vs. Alexander Hernandez (-265)

Former UFC Lightweight champ, and famous Red Panty night fumbler, Dos Anjos turns 42 this month. His last fight was over two years ago, when he went down with a knee injury against Geoff Neal. He was getting touched up before that happened. That was RDA’s third loss in a row. His last win was a 2022 submission over Bryan Barbarena.

Hernandez lost a decision to Rafa Garcia in April. Before that he had a fight with Michael Johnson scrapped due to some betting irregularities. That weird patch ruined a nice little winning streak for Hernandez. That prior run included TKOs over Diego Ferreira (see it here) and Chase Hooper (see it here).

I was really high on Hernandez during his purple patch before the Johnson fiasco. He was mixing his martial arts very nicely and seemed to have really figured out what he’s best at. I think we’re going to see him get back to that against RDA.

RDA looks slow in the Neal fight and now he’s two years older and coming off knee surgery. I think he’s probably still tough to get finished, but I don’t know if his body will hold out for three rounds. So I’ll stay away from the over. I’ll just go with the Hernandez moneyline.

Best bet: Alexander Hernandez moneyline (-265)

Marvin Vettori (+102) vs. Ismaeil Naurdiev (-122)

Vettori is one a three fight losing skid. Last time out he looked very mediocre against Brunno Ferreira. Before that he lost to Brendan Allen, but got a Fight of the Night award (wasn’t much competition that night). And before that he lost a decision to Roman Dolidze. The Italian’s last win was his first fight with Dolidze, back in 2023.

Naurdiev starched Ryan Loder in his last fight (see that here). That was almost a year ago, though. Before that he lost a decision to Jung Yong Park, after suffering a point deduction for an illegal knee. He’s 4-3 in UFC after two separate spells with the company.

Vettori has looked really checked out lately. And Naurdiev has shown some lapses in judgment in the cage. We might be in for a weird one here. I don’t think Naurdiev is anything special, but Vettori’s slump doesn’t feel like it’s going to change anytime soon. So it’s very hard for me to bet on either of these guys.

Vettori always goes to a decision, so I’ll just take the over here.

Best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-215)

Court McGee (+185) vs. Eric Nolan (-225)

McGee gets his first fight since June, 2025 by virtue of being the promotion’s most well known fighter out of Utah. His last fight was a loss to fellow former The Ultimate Fighter winner Michael Chiesa. He lost that by decision. He’s currently 1-4 in his last fight, with the win being a submission over Tim Means (see it here). Two of his losses were KOs.

Nolan put on a good show against Farman Hasanov in Azerbaijan this summer, but came away with the unanimous decision loss. Before that he was submitted by Baisangur Susurkaev (see that here).

This isn’t the worst fight they could have given the hometown boy. But with McGee being twelve years older and giving up a little size, I still think this is an uphill battle for ‘The Crusher’.

Nolan has shown us some decent boxing in his limited appearances. I think he’s going to be able to keep McGee at range and wear him down over time.

Best bet: Eric Nolan moneyline (-225)

Jacobe Smith (-1000) vs. Bruce Whitehead (+650)

Smith improved to 12-0 with a brutal beatdown over Josiah Harrell in February (see it here). He’s now 3-0 since graduating off Contender Series. He was supposed to fight Kevin Holland in July, but Holland pulled out due to injury. That match-up had the potential to catapult Smith up the rankings. Instead, he gets a newcomer here — likely out of a desire to stay busy (aka paid).

Whitehead is 8-2 after a career fought entirely on Fury FC. One of his losses there was to current UFC fighter Victor Valenzuela (by KO knee).

This is another very lopsided fight with a top prospect and someone drafted in seemingly to lose. Of all these match-ups we’ve seen lately, this is one where I’m most confident in the favorite. Smith has won at the UFC level, multiple times, and his opponent is drafted right out of the regional scene (with a less than stellar record there).

So there’s no point fading Smith here. I expect him to get the finish, but I’ll take the over since the odds are so high and Smith has finished two of his four fights in the Octagon in the second round.

Best bet: Over 1.5 rounds (+210)

UFC 332 Long Shots!

Here’s a couple of long shots for Saturday night’s action …

Payton Talbott by Submission (+800)

Figueiredo ran into a Song Yadong guillotine in his last fight. That was quite indicative of what feels like Figueiredo’s career winding down, as he shot in slowly without care and attention. I think Talbott is capable of making Figueiredo pay a similar price, if he tries to engage on the ground at this age and stage.

King Green to Win in Round 1 (+1000)

King Green and Esteban Ribovics might put on a wild opening five minutes, since both are very fast starters. Ribovics is a death by a thousand cuts kind of guy, whereas Green still has one shot stopping power. Ribovics likes to take one to land one and I think Green’s “one” might do him in.

Two-Bet Parlay: Alden Coria and Wang Cong (+537)

I really like Coria and he has been more active than Imanol Rodriguez lately. He also has a size and wrestling advantage over him. And I think Wang is the kind of fighter who will really show up in this moment.

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