Terence Crawford, the former pound-for-pound best boxer in the world, returns to the ring for the first time in over a year, with Shawn Porter first on his hit list as he gets his opportunity to take on the best from other promotions.
Crawford vs Porter will take place November 20 at the Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the WBO welterweight title on the line. When it comes to Crawford vs Porter odds, the current champion, Crawford, is the big betting favorite.
Online sportsbook Bovada has listed the Terence Crawford vs Shawn Porter betting odds with Crawford set at -700 and Porter the +425 underdog option. This means to profit $100 with a winning bet on the champ, you’d need to lay $700, while a $100 wager on the challenger would net you $425.
Odds as of November 12 at Bovada
Further examining the Crawford vs Porter betting lines, Terence’s odds of -700 represent an implied win probability of 87.50 percent while Shawn’s odds have an implied win probability of 19.05 percent.
This is the third time in five fights that Porter, the former WBA welterweight champion, will walk to the ring as an underdog. He did cash in one of those instances, as a +135 option against Danny Garcia, to win the aforementioned title. “Showtime” nearly pulled off another upset in his bout with Errol Spence Jr. in September 2019, which came down to a split decision.
While Porter has been the plus-money option in the past, you cannot say the same for “Bud.” Crawford has been a betting favorite of -525 or greater in all of his recent fights that there have been odds for. There are two reasons why he has been favored by such an extent. First, he’s tremendously talented. Secondly, he’s only fought Top Rank-promoted fighters but he now gets the opportunity to go up against other promoted fighters.
Terence Crawford’s versatility is among the main reasons he is considered one of the best pound-for-pound boxers, if not the best. Bud has the ability to fight southpaw or orthodox with seemingly no difference in power or defense. This keeps fighters on edge as he figures out a game plan to put them away, which he does at a high frequency. The champ is a perfect 37-0 with 28 wins coming by knockout. including his last eight in a row.
Bud has an outstanding fight IQ matched with that ability to switch stances and he also does a great job changing up, whether he wants to be the aggressor or use his outstanding counters. Quite simply, there aren’t a lot of holes in his game offensively or defensively.
I mentioned Showtime’s split-decision loss to former top-five pound-for-pound boxer Errol Spence Jr. In fact, all three of Porter’s defeats have been by decision – one split, one majority and one unanimous. His overall record stands at 31-3 with 17 wins by knockout.
While Crawford typically relies more on defense and counter-striking, Porter is a bulldog in the ring, not giving a lot of room to work and having a lot of output. Normally, I say that these underdog fighters have to bring the fight to the champions but that isn’t necessary in this fight. In fact, it could be argued that Porter may have to sit back at times and try to draw out an attack from Crawford.
I liked Showtime’s jabs in his last fight, a wrinkle in his game we don’t see too often as he tends to get on the inside and wing big shots. If he could work the jab and force Crawford to engage while also working the body when in the pocket, he could make this a close bout.
All that said, if Porter elects to be his typical self, creating a firefight, Crawford will counter heavily, should be the faster man and could be the first to knock out Porter. At times, Shawn can overextend when he’s throwing his big shots and if he’s off-balance, that’s where he can get in trouble.