UFC 334’s best betting props, parlays and picks | Gane vs. Hokit

UFC 334 is live this weekend (Sat., Nov. 17, 2026) from inside Madison Square Garden in New York, N.Y., streaming exclusively on Paramount+ (watch here). UFC 334 features two title fights. The main event is Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit for UFC’s Heavyweight title. The co-main event has Kayla Harrisondefending her women’s Bantamweight title against returning women’s G.O.A.T., Amanda Nunes.

Rounding out the PLE main card isCaio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui, Uros Medic vs. Kevin Holland and Bilal Hasan vs. Luis Gurule. That’s pretty stacked, especially given all the APEX cards we’ve had to suffer through this year.

The featured “Prelims” bout is Stephen Thompson’s retirement fight (more on that here). He’s facing Charles Radtke. UFC 334’s “Prelims” also have Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan, Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney and Jared Gordon vs. Melqizael Costa. Should be pretty fun.

As always, there’s lots to bet on this card and we’ve got odds for all the fights below:

UFC 334 Main Card Money Line Odds

Ciryl Gane (-245) vs. Josh Hokit (+200)

Gane took the then interim title with his beatdown of Alex Pereira on the White House lawn (see it here). Sure, there were some shots to the back of the head, but it’s hard to argue that Gane wasn’t the better fighter that night … by a mile. The title was turned into the undisputed belt after Tom Aspinall was forced to vacate because of his eye injury (suffered at the fingers of Gane). That fight was a “No Contest” in Oct. 2025. It may have ended quickly and due to fouls, but Gane was winning those early exchanges.

Gane got his fight with Aspinall after a split decision win to Alexander Volkov, which was one of the worst high profile judging robberies we’ve seen in awhile.

Hokit is 4-0 in UFC. He was at the White House, too. He had far too much for Derrick Lewis that night. He earned that short notice opportunity with a wild win over Curtis Blaydes two months earlier.

Honestly, I’m still not very sold on Hokit.

Lewis has been quitting on fights lately and is not a threat to anyone who can push any kind of pace. In the Blaydes fight Hokit succeeded in goading Blaydes into the fight he wanted and his other two wins are over tomato cans.

Gane has been in there with the best. He’s not beaten them, but he’s seen and done a lot more as a UFC Heavyweight. I think his striking is levels beyond Hokit’s and if Hokit isn’t serious about his defense then I think he’s going to get finished.

A lot of people seem to be in love with Hokit’s perceived wrestling advantage over Gane, too. But I don’t think we’ve seen enough to call Hokit an elite UFC wrestler. And I also think that most fighters are pretty good at takedown defense nowadays. Granted, Gane has had issues in the past, but that was in a fight with Jon Jones. Sure Francis Ngannou out-wrestled him, too, but I think Gane has had lots of opportunities to get better since then.

So, my pick is Gane. He’s a much better striker. He’s much bigger (eight-inch reach advantage) and he’s far more battle-tested.

Best bet: Ciryl Gane moneyline (-245)

Kayla Harrison (-192) vs. Amanda Nunes (+160)

This is scheduled to be Harrison’s first Bantamweight title defense since she took the belt with a kimura over Julianna Pena in June 2025 (see it here). Since then, she’s had neck surgery, which required a long recovery. She earned her UFC title shot after a less than inspiring win over Ketlen Vieira. Her debut was a win over Holly Holm, by submission (see it here).

Nunes stepped away in 2023 after a dominant decision over Irene Aldana. That wrapped her UFC career at 16-2 with her losses being a shocking upset against Pena, whom she beat in the immediate rematch, and a very early loss to a very good Cat Zingano (in a fight Nunes was actually winning).

I kind of hate this fight. It’s really hard to know what kind of shape either of these women are in. Nunes has been out for three years, which isn’t great (but it’s also not 10 years). And Harrison is returning from a significant injury and surgery. Both women are also on the wrong side of 35.

Harrison’s age, surgery and list of lackluster wins explain the reason her odds aren’t that amazing against the returning Nunes.

In their primes, this would have been a very interesting fight and I think Harrison’s grappling probably causes Nunes a lot of trouble. At this stage in their careers, I think we might end up with a very low intensity fight.

I don’t think we’re going to see many big shots landed and I don’t think we’re going to see many takedowns. So, I think the winner is going to be the fighter who looks most like a winner during time spent mostly on the feet or clinching up against the fence.

I think Nunes probably convinces the judges in striking exchanges. But I also think Harrison might attempt enough takedowns and spend enough time pushing her into the mesh that she sways the judges into thinking she’s doing the best job.

I think we end up going the distance here and don’t feel very enthused about who the winner is. I think Harrison probably takes it, thanks to spending lots of time looking like she’s trying to get a takedown. I would love to see Nunes drop her with a big punch, though.

Best bet: Kayla Harrison moneyline (-192)

Caio Borralho (-155) vs. Yousri Belgaroui (+130)

Borralho is coming off a decision over Reinier de Ridder in March. That was after his title chances were dented with a loss to Nassourdine Imavov. It might have been Borralho ambushing Sean Strickland at the UFC PI if he’d won that. Borralho was 7-0 in UFC before that Imavov loss.

Belgaroui has looked great since graduating off Contender Series in Sept. 2024. He’s crushed Azamat Bekoev, Mansur Abdul-Malik and Djorden Santos since then. The former GLORY fighter, and current sparring partner of Alex Pereira, has barely been touched through those three fights.

I love watching Belgaroui fight and, up until this point, he’s been given opponents who have enabled him to show off what he’s best at. The lanky kickboxer is yet to face anyone who had a serious desire to put him on his back. Borralho has done a lot of standing and banging lately, but he was a concrete blanket to start his UFC career.

He seemed to shift tactics when he saw he needed to be more exciting to climb the UFC ladder. He’s had good opponenets to do that with, though. He was able to beat de Ridder, Jared Cannonier, Abus Magomedov and the like by just boxing with them.

I think he’s smart enough to know that just boxing with Belgaroui is a terrible idea, especially when you are probably a much better wrestler than him.

Borralho’s wrestling, and likely desire to use it, has me siding with him in this match-up. Borralho is also not giving up a ton of size to Belgaroui. Belgaroui is four-inches taller, but he’s not much longer and Borralho has a lot of muscle on his frame. I think Borralho should be strong to get Belgaroui up against the fence and down on the ground. He should want to get him down quickly, since Belgaroui has looked like a monster in the clinch.

I won’t be surprised if Belgaroui wins this. Strikers have the supremacy in this sport right now as the base level of defensive wrestling and grappling keeps getting better across the sport. And I can see a world where Belgaroui hurts Borralho early and turns his black-belt into a blue-belt.

Ultimately, though, I have a lot of respect for what Borralho has done to this point and I think he’s the better all-round fighter. He’s also very durable and has never been stopped.

Best bet: Caio Borralho moneyline (-155)

Uros Medic (-175) vs. Kevin Holland (+145)

Medic completed one of the biggest bouts of aura farming UFC has ever seen in August. At UFC Belgrade — an event built around him — he smashed Daniel Rodriguez in 30 seconds to elicit one of the biggest crowd pops in UFC history. That was Medic’s fourth win in a row, all by first round knockout.

Holland took a decision over Randy Brown in April. That saw him rebound from losses to Mike Malott and Daniel Rodriguez. He was supposed to face killer prospect, Jacobe Smith, in July; however, he had to pull out. He’s now 16-12 1 NC in UFC, though his famous activity rate is starting to trail off a little. This is only the second bout he’s had in 2026.

This is an interesting match-up. I’m pretty sold on Medic and think his blistering offense is too much for most folks outside the top ten.

Holland is a gamer, though. And he’s bringing a whopping ten-inches of reach advantage into this fight. Medic’s speed is terrifying, though. So he might be able to rush past all that reach and get to Holland’s chin right away.

Even so, Holland’s craftiness deserves some consideration. He’s also very durable. His only technical knockout losses are a corner retirement against Stephen Thompson and a rib injury against Roman Dolidze. He’s never been sparked out by punches. The most hurt he’s ever been in a fight was when he clashed heads with Kyle Daukaus. He took a lot of punishment in his fight with Daniel Rodriguez, too, but managed to hang in there and give as good as he got.

Medic does have all the momentum, though. That momentum was earned off the back of some older fighters, though. His last three opponents (Rodriguez, Geoff Neal and Muslim Salikhov) have a combined age of 107.

Holland is younger than all of them at 34.

I’m going to go with Trailblazer here and hope that his reach prevents Medic from his opening rush and forces him to fight at a slower pace. Medic seems to fight best when he goes into a berserker mode and fights purely on instinct. If Holland can get Medic into a battle where guys need to think things through, then I can see Holland figuring out a way to win before Medic does.

Best bet: Kevin Holland moneyline (+145)

Bilal Hasan (-900) vs. Luis Gurule (+600)

Hasan is the shiny new thing at Flyweight after his finish over Nilson Rojas, and subsequent moon walk, at UFC Shanghaiin August (see it here). That was his first fight after he came off Contender Series just eighteen days prior. He’s now 10-0 as a pro.

Gurule has been fed into the woodchipper a few times in his UFC career. His first UFC fight was a technical knockout loss to Ode’ Osbourne (see it here). He has since lost fights to big prospects Alden Coria and Rei Tsuruya. His one UFC loss is a decision over Daniel Barez in May.

There’s something about Hasan that makes me not want to fall in love with him. Maybe it’s the weird Michael Jackson fandom stuff. He did look sensational in his debut. But this is 2026 UFC, the matchmakers are trying to create viral moments so Contender Series studs routinely get a can to start their careers (Rojas was signed out of Inka FC in Peru, with no prior exposure on UFC products).

They are trying to set up a win for Hasan here, too. On paper, Gurule has been awful. He has fought some really tough guys, though Hasan has not.

Given these odds, and that we are in the year of the underdog (aka the year of the crazy odds), I’m going to fade Hasan. He might come out there and light up Gurule in no time. But he also might not be a very well rounded UFC fighter. I’ll take a chance on the latter.

I’ll take Gurule in my long shot section. Right here, I’ll go with the over, thinking Gurule makes this a closer fight than Vegas thinks.

Best bet: Over 1.5 rounds (+145)

UFC 334 ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds

Stephen Thompson (-148) vs. Charles Radtke (+124)

Wonderboy gets his retirement fight at UFC 334. The 43 year old last fought in July, 2025. That was a split decision loss to Gabriel Bonfim, in which Bonfim looked like he didn’t really step on the gas. That was Thompson’s third loss in a row. Before that he was KO’d by Joaquin Buckley (see it here). And before that he was submitted by Shavkat Rakhmonov (see it here). Thompson’s UFC record now stands at 12-9-1.

Radtke has won his last two fights. Those were a decision over Francisco Prado and a submission over Daniel Frunza. Those saw him rebound over his TKO loss to Mike Mallott (see it here). That happened after Radtke did a lot of talking about wanting to beat the Canadian on Canadian soil.

I’ve loved what Thompson brings to this sport, but I wish he (and everyone else) called it a day once they know they want to retire instead of signing up for one more outing. UFC has been kind with some retirement match-making this year and allowed some guys to hit lay-ups before riding into the sunset (Michael Chiesa, Cub Swanson, Niko Price). That hasn’t always been the case, though. They served Darren Elkins up to Santiago Luna. Radtke is closer to Luna than he is to Leon Shahbazyan (who Price pocketed a few months ago).

I think this might be a tough fight for Wonder-man, especially given Radtke’s wrestling/grappling. After getting hurt on the feet a few times to start his career, Radtke seems to have re-calibrated his game to be more risk avoidant.

I’m not sure if Thompson has the pop to knockout Radtke, but I think he can still be pretty competitive if all we’re doing is kickboxing.

I think Radtke is going to make this an MMA fight, though, and that favors him a lot.

Best bet: Charles Radtke moneyline (+124)

Drew Dober (+136) vs. Chris Duncan (-162)

Dober KO’d Michael Johnson in March (see it here). Before that he has a weird win over Kyle Prepolec. Prepolec got hurt with a low blow and tried to tough it out, but he was clearly compromised. Dober showed no mercy and put Prepolec away moments after the restart (see it here). He’s now 15-11 and 1 NC in UFC.

Duncan had his nice winning streak snapped by teammate Renato Moicano in an APEX main event in April. Before that Duncan had gotten Terrance McKinney with an anaconda choke (see it here) and used his famous guillotine over Jordan Vucenic and Bolaji Oki.

This feels like a front runner for Fight of the Night. I think we’re in for a bloody war here. Duncan has the advantage on the ground, but I think he’ll be pretty comfortable standing and banging with Dober (like he was in his win over Mateusz Rebecki).

I think Dober is a little better on the feet, but he’s had a lot of damage over his career. Those durability issues have me looking at Duncan in this bout.

If Duncan can hang with Dober on the feet and perhaps benefit from all that accumulated damage then I think he has the edge (and that’s even when totally ignoring that slick submission game he has).

Best bet: Chris Duncan moneyline (-162)

Jim Miller (+164) vs. Terrance McKinney (-198)

This is fight number 59 for the 43 year old Miller. He tapped out Jared Gordon in his last fight and took home a Performance of the Night bonus (see it here). He’s gone back and forth between wins and losses for the last few years, taking dubs over Damon Jackson and Gabriel Benitez and losing to Chase Hooper and King Green (both by decision).

McKinney is coming off a TKO loss to Green in a wild round of fighting (see it here). Before that he got one of his typical 24 second finishes over Kyle Nelson (see it here). Green is now 8-6 in UFC and has only left the first round twice. He’s never gone the distance in his 27 pro fight career.

I really don’t want to bet against Miller, just on principle.

McKinney is very fun, but his explosive offense comes with diabolically porous defense.

At 43, Miller has seen it all and I don’t think he’s going to panic when McKinney comes — literally — flying at him. If someone is going to be poised enough to see through that assault and find the weak spot, it might just be Miller.

Best bet: Jim Miller moneyline (+164)

Donte Johnson (-175) vs. Cesar Almeida (+145)

Johnson KO’d Eric McConico in August (see it here). That got him to 3-0 in his young UFC career. His other wins are over Cody Brundage and Sedriques Dumas.

Almeida came into UFC with a lot of hype, thanks to his work in GLORY. In June, though, he was destroyed by Damian Pinas (see it here). There’s no shame in that. He wasn’t the first to feel the power of Pinas and he certainly won’t be the last. Before that he dropped a decision to Cezary Oleksiejczuk. He’s only looked like a devastating striker once in UFC, with his obliteration of Abdul Razak Alhassan in 2025 (see it here).

Almeida really hasn’t panned out in UFC. He came here late in his career and he was matched up with a few guys who could target his awful lack of wrestling. Johnson has shown us a little bit of wrestling and that might just be enough to ground Almeida and keep him there.

On the feet Johnson has a lot of confidence, but he’s not the sharpest technician. Almeida has the prettier punches. But I don’t know if he can catch the much younger man with those. I think Johnson is probably capable of forcing Almeida into a clinch and stopping him getting things off from range. In the clinch, I think Johnson (a former undersized Heavyweight) will be able to drag or horse Almeida down and target that weakness on the ground.

Best bet: Donte Johnson moneyline (-175)

UFC 334 Early ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds

Jared Gordon (+295) vs. Melquizael Costa (-375)

Gordon has lost his last two, both by stoppage. In May he was trapped by Jim Miller’s guillotine. Before that he was finished by elbows from Rafa Garcia (see it here). Before those losses he knocked Thiago Moises out cold (see it here).

Costa had his debut main event fight in May, losing a decision to Arnold Allen. That has prompted his move up to Lightweight. Before that, loss he was on a six-fight winning streak, which included knockouts of Dan Ige and Morgan Charriere (see it here).

Despite going up in weight, Costa will be significantly bigger than Gordon (a fellow former Featherweight) with a three-inch reach advantage. He’s also a lot younger than Gordon. Costa has done pretty well against the older vets he’s faced. Gordon’s power deserves respect, but I think his lack of speed will make this a tough fight for him.

Costa has pretty slick striking, especially with his kicks. And he’s got great jiu-jitsu to fall back on. All that makes it very hard to look past the Dalmatian in this fight. I’ll take him minus the points to bring those odds up a little.

Best bet: Melquizael Costa -3.5 (-280)

Macy Chiasson (+215) vs. Bia Mesquita (-265)

Chiasson is riding a three fight losing skid. Last time out she lost to Ailin Perez, that was in February. Before that she lost to Yana Santos (in a fight where she missed weight) and Ketlen Vieira. Her last win was a doctor’s stoppage (due to a cut) against Mayra Bueno Silva in June, 2024.

Mesquita stayed undefeated after beating Melissa Mullins in June. She got her with an armbar (see it here), but she was rocked on the feet before she pulled that move out. That was the first time Mesquita has looked human in UFC. Prior to then she ran through Montse Rendon and Irina Alekseeva using her elite level BJJ.

That Mullins fight was a bit of a wake-up call for all the Mesquita boosters out there (which includes me). Fortunately, for her, Chiasson doesn’t have much power so I don’t expect her to get wobbled in this fight. Chiassion’s best weapons are her elbows from top position and she’s not going to get a second of top control time in this fight.

Mesquita should be able to get inside on Chiasson and turn this into a grappling match. The multiple IBJJ world champ wins a grappling match with Chiasson 10 out of 10 times.

Best bet: Bia Mesquita moneyline (-265)

Alatengheili (+280) vs. Juan Diaz (-355)

Diaz submitted Malcolm Wellmaker in his debut (see that here). That was after he impressed on Contender Series with a spinning back elbow KO. He’s 16-1-1 with most of his time spent in Mexico’s Lux Fight League. He was due to face Adrian Yanez on this card, before Yanez got injured.

Alatengheili comes in less than two months after his split decision win over John Castaneda. He’s 6-3-1 in UFC and 3-2 in his last five (all decisions).

I think Diaz is a very interesting prospect who can do a bit of everything. Alatengheili is tough and does everyone OK, but nothing super well. I think Diaz has more pop in his striking and more threat in his grappling.

This fight came together late, so I don’t have all the props available. I would favor Diaz to get a finish here, but I’ll just do the moneyline right now.

Best bet: Juan Diaz moneyline (-355)

Evan Elder (-102) vs. Samuel Sanches (-118)

Elder hasn’t fought since April 2025, taking a decision over Gauge Young. That got him to 3-2 in UFC. One of his losses was due to a cut suffered against Nazim Sadykhov.

Sanches is fresh off Contender Series, where he scored a first round knockout. He’s 23 and 11-1. That one loss was to a leg lock specialist back when Sanches was a teenager. Sanches hasn’t fought at any of the big Brazilian organizations.

Sanches passes the eye-test as an interesting prospect. The names on his record leave a lot to be desired, though. And going from the Brazilian smokers to MSG is quite the transition (even if it will be nearly empty when this fight starts). Elder is a lot better than anyone Sanches has fought, too.

I’m going to go with the veteran here, since I think Elder is just a little more polished across the board right now (despite Sanches having a lot of upside).

Best bet: Evan Elder moneyline (-102)

UFC 334 Long Shots!

Here are a couple of long shots for Saturday night’s action …

Amanda Nunes by KO/TKO/DQ (+300)

What if Nunes winds the clock back and does the George St-Pierre thing? I can see it happening here, mostly because Harrison is coming off that significant injury and — truth be told — she’s not really done much at the UFC level. Nunes is our women’s G.O.A.T. and returning from three years to beat an Olympic champion is the kind of thing G.O.A.T.s do.

Luis Gurule moneyline (+600)

We’re in the year of the underdog and I think the line of this fight is looking a little silly. Hasan lit up a regional fighter in Shanghai (who they flew in from Peru). Gurule has had some tough losses, but he’s also a tough dude. I don’t think it’s impossible that he’s the latest person to make us think, “wow those odds were ridiculous?” We’ve said that a lot this year.

Gane vs. Hokit – Point to be deducted (+1200)

Fish in a barrel, right? This prop is usually +2000, but we know our referee is going to be very locked in to eye pokes and anything else illegal. I don’t think we’re getting any warnings in the cage for this fight. We could see Gane lose a point from the first eye poke he lands. And we might see Hokit get punished for something cheeky, too.

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