Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather Odds: Mayweather a Huge Betting Favorite

Arguably the greatest boxer of all time will be displaying his outstanding skills once again, as Floyd Mayweather Jr. will be taking on YouTube star Logan Paul in what is being coined a “super exhibition.” After the original fight date of February 20 fell through, the two have agreed upon June 6 to enter the ring.

With a quick look at the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds, it comes as no surprise that the 50-0 boxer, Mayweather, is a massive favorite and Paul, with his 22.6 million followers, is a huge underdog.

Of course, Paul was called out on social media after his brother Jake knocked out Nate Robinson in the co-main event of the Mike Tyson vs Roy Jones Jr. card. I will take a look at the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds and provide a prediction for this fight below.

Online sportsbook BetOnline has released the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds and, not surprisingly, has listed Mayweather as a large -1200 favorite with Paul coming back as a +700 underdog. This means you would have to wager $1,200 to profit $100 with a Mayweather win, while a $100 bet on a Paul win would profit you $700.

Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather Odds

Odds as of May 17 at Bovada

Looking at the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds, Mayweather’s odds of -1200 have an implied win probability of 92.31 percent, while Paul’s odds of +700 have an implied win probability of 12.50 percent. Even that may be too generous in a boxing match against one of the greatest of all time. 

Paul vs Mayweather Odds Analysis

Perhaps a feather in the cap for Paul is that he isn’t the biggest underdog ever against Floyd; Mayweather’s shortest odds were -3000 in a bout against Andre Berto. Paul has had one pro boxing match, in November 2019, when he lost a close split decision to KSI. So we have an 0-1 YouTube sensation up against a 50-0 boxer, which makes all the sense to see why the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds are where they are.

Looking at Mayweather’s odds history, you can see that he has been favored in each of his last 18 fights that we have lines for; twice, he was a favorite of -2000 or more. On that list, you can see the body of work that “Money” has run through, including Arturo Gatti, Oscar De La Hoya, Canelo Alvarez and Manny Pacquiao, to name just a few.

Consider the threat each of those opponents posed to Mayweather and then consider that Paul’s lone professional fight came against another YouTube star, KSI.

Understanding Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather Betting

Now, if you are a typical $50 to $100 bettor, placing a bet on Mayweather is just not worth your time since a $100 bet on Floyd to win would profit you a whopping $8.33. You’re best to hang on until closer to the fight when more Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather betting props will be opened such as the method of victory or the total number of rounds, where you will get much better value.

Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather Betting Tips

With this being a “super exhibition” bout, one stipulation I have seen is that Floyd cannot weigh more than 160 pounds, which will be no problem, and Paul no more than 190.

Mayweather’s Conditioning is a Game Changer

However, regardless of the weight, Mayweather is a far superior athlete and boxer who is extremely difficult to hit and knows all the tricks of the trade to make you look foolish – and that’s exactly what he will do to Paul.

As mentioned above, a wager on Mayweather to win outright isn’t worth your time and I would have to see how many rounds they decide to go to give you direction on a method of victory. If they do 10 to 12 rounds, Floyd by knockout is the pick for sure, because Paul will tire and Mayweather will not. If it’s six to eight rounds, I’ll probably go with a win by decision.

What Does Paul Do Right?

I must say that in Paul’s two fights vs KSI (they fought once as amateurs), there were some things that he did well, specifically using his long jab to keep his opponent at bay. However, he gets excited when he does land a jab and then tends to wing wild overhand hooks afterward that rarely land. Also, due to this wild approach, his conditioning becomes an issue. If there are two things you can’t do against Mayweather, it’s throw sloppy punches or gas out.

Paul vs Mayweather Betting Value

Again, looking at the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds, taking Mayweather at -1200 is not worth a wager, but betting on the fight to not go the distance at -200 has a lot more intrigue.

Paul vs Mayweather Prediction: Floyd Mayweather (-1200) via knockout