Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Odds & Prediction
ODDSSHARK.COM |  December 18, 2021, 12:00 AM

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Odds & Prediction

Canelo Alvarez (left) is favored in the Canelo vs Caleb Plant (right) odds.

Two of the biggest names in boxing right now are Paul and Fury – no disrespect to Canelo Alvarez intended. Now you could argue which Paul is the bigger name with Logan likely boxing Mike Tyson next February. However, Jake has been in the headlines and he will be taking on a Fury – not the lineal heavyweight champ Tyson, though, but his younger half-brother Tommy Fury.

The two had a run-in backstage on the night of Jake Paul vs Tyron Woodley.

Jake Paul and Tommy Fury are set to box on December 18 in Tampa, Florida. This will be the first time that the YouTuber collides with a more traditional boxer and as such, the Paul vs Fury odds favor Tommy.

Paul vs Fury Odds

Online sportsbook Bovada has released the Paul vs Fury odds and listed Tommy as the -155 chalk and Jake the +120 underdog option. This means that if you’re looking to profit $100 on a Fury win, you would have to lay $155, while a $100 winning bet on Paul would profit you $120.

Jake Paul+120
Tommy Fury-155

Odds as of November 10 at Bovada

To examine the Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury betting odds more closely, Fury’s odds of -155 represent an implied win probability of 60.78 percent while Paul’s +120 betting line offers an implied win probability of 43.67 percent.

Jake Paul vs Tommy Fury Betting Odds Analysis

Once again, to beat a dead horse, this is the first time that Jake “The Problem Child” Paul is taking on a true, trained boxer, and as a result, we are seeing the YouTube sensation listed as the underdog for the first time in his career. Is there value on Jake as he faces his toughest competition or is the experiment about to come to an end?

Tightest Betting Odds For Fury

Also known as a bit of a celebrity with his appearance on Love Island, Tommy “TNT” Fury lays his undefeated boxing record on the line. The 22-year-old is 7-0 and has been chalk of -1400 or greater in the five fights that odds were available for. It can be argued as well that this is TNT’s toughest bout so far.

Tommy Fury vs Jake Paul Preview

Say what you will about the celebrity boxing world we have been witness to for the past two years or so, but Jake Paul knows how to box. Is he a future champ, maybe possibly, but can he hold his own in the squared circle? Most definitely.

The Problem Child has a great jab, decent head movement and works the body effectively before targeting the head. At times, he can get a little overexcited and lunge toward his opponent, which opens him up for big counters. However, he absorbed a big shot from Tyron Woodley in his last fight and managed to survive that moment.

Fury Needs To Fight Long

This is the first time that Paul will be at a reach disadvantage as TNT has an 80-inch reach, four inches longer than Paul’s. Typically, a boxer will know how to use that effectively and keep distance, while landing heavy when their opponent tries to enter the pocket.

Fury doesn’t have tremendous hand speed and doesn’t do a great job setting up his punches. That said, his step-in uppercut and his hooks inside are sharp and accurate, though his defense can be a little lax in those moments.

Paul vs Fury Betting Pick

One of the biggest factors for me in this bout is its length. It is an eight-round bout, and Fury has only done four rounds in the past. In those four-round fights, he has slowed and it appeared as though his punches were labored, which could be a huge concern as we reach rounds 6, 7 and 8.

I do think that Fury will have some early success, especially when Paul spears to the body, which he does so often – TNT will likely catch him with a few uppercuts. However, as the fight progresses, I think the momentum will swing in the Problem Child’s direction. When this switch happens could determine whose hand gets raised.

Prediction: Jake Paul (+120) via decision


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